A fight between former middleweight champion Saul “Canelo” Alvarez and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. could be made within a week if the $6 million offer made by Canelo’s promoters to Chavez Jr. is agreed on. The fight between them is expected to surpass 1 million buys pay-per-view on HBO.
The Canelo-Chavez Jr. fight will take place on May 6 if the match can be negotiated between them. It’ll be agreed on catchweight of 165 pounds. They’re talking about staging the fight in Las Vegas, Nevada, Los Angeles, Arlington or San Antonio Texas.
Canelo brought in 600,000 buys on HBO pay-per-view for his fight against Amir Khan last May. However, in Canelo’s last fight against WBO 154lb champion Liam Smith brought in 300,000 buys on HBO last September in Arlington, Texas. That was a considerable drop off for Canelo from the Khan fight, and an even bigger drop off from the 900,000 PPV buys Canelo’s fight against Miguel Cotto brought in for their fight in 2015.
1 million PPV buys might be too big of a number for the Canelo-Chavez Jr. fight. For the fight to hit 1 million households, it would have to be a fight between relevant fighters. While Canelo is relevant, Chavez Jr. is not. He’s not the fighter he once was in 2012, when he held the WBC middleweight title. He was beaten by Sergio Martinez by a 12 round decision, and his career has stagnated ever since.
The choice of Chavez Jr. for Canelo to fight is very similar to how Golden Boy Promotions selected James Kirkland to fight Canelo in May 2015 for a fight at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. Like Chavez Jr., Kirkland was once a good fighter that had a lot of boxing followers that liked to see him fight. Kirkland’s career went downhill in 2011 after he was knocked out in the 1st round by Nobuhiro Ishida.
Chavez Jr. is not a top level fighter any longer. If Golden Boy is expecting the boxing fans to be stuck in a time warp from 2012, when Chavez Jr. was still the WBC champion, then I think they’re underestimating the intelligence of the fans. The casual boxing fans might not know that Chavez Jr. is not a fighter any longer, but the hardcore fans do. The casual might not even know who Chavez Jr. is because he’s been out of the limelight for so long fighting lesser fighters and being inactive.